Comprehensive Framework for Optimizing Demand Forecasting Implementation: A Bibliometric Analysis
Kerangka Kerja Komprehensif untuk Optimalisasi Implementasi Peramalan Permintaan: Analisis Bibliometrik
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21070/ups.10228Keywords:
Bibliometric Analysis, Demand Forecasting, Deep Learning, Machine Learning, Supply Chain OptimizationAbstract
Geopolitical uncertainty, supply chain disruptions, and dynamic market conditions underscore the critical role of demand forecasting in modern business strategy. The results of accurate demand forecasting enable organizations to anticipate customer demand, perform optimal inventory management, improve supply chain efficiency and also make strategic decisions based on data. Forecasting models have currently experienced quite rapid development along with the integration of technologies such as machine learning and deep learning which are able to overcome the limitations of traditional forecasting models in processing complex and nonlinear data. Integration of technology into demand forecasting models has been proven to improve the accuracy and adaptability of forecasting models, but there are still challenges in its implementation related to data quality, selection of appropriate forecasting models and availability of computing resources. This study uses mixed method by conducting bibliometric analysis on 502 documents and content analysis on 144 relevant documents from the Scopus database. The purpose of this study is to identify research trends, literature gaps, and global collaborations in demand forecasting model development and to formulate a comprehensive framework to optimize demand forecasting implementation. The results of this study indicate increasing trend in the use of hybrid forecasting models that combine traditional forecasting models with machine learning or deep learning. This study also proposes comprehensive framework that can be used to optimize the implementation of demand forecasting with the aim of improving forecast accuracy and strengthening the organization's ability to anticipate dynamic and uncertain global market environment.
Downloads
References
T. Zhang, Z. Zhang, dan G. Xue, “Mitigating the disturbances of events on tourism demand forecasting,” Ann Oper Res, vol. 342, no. 1, hlm. 1019–1040, Nov 2024, doi: 10.1007/s10479-023-05626-6.
J. V. Filho, A. Scortegagna, A. P. D. S. D. Vieira, dan P. A. Jaskowiak, “Machine learning for water demand forecasting: Case study in a Brazilian coastal city,” Water Practice & Technology, vol. 19, no. 5, hlm. 1586–1602, Mei 2024, doi: 10.2166/wpt.2024.096.
J. S. Armstrong, Ed., Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners, vol. 30. dalam International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, vol. 30. Boston, MA: Springer US, 2001. doi: 10.1007/978-0-306-47630-3.
R. J. Hyndman dan G. Athanasopoulos, Forecasting: principles and practice, 2nd edition. Australia, 2018. [Daring]. Tersedia pada: OTexts.com/fpp2
G. E. P. Box, G. M. Jenkins, dan G. C. Reinsel, Time Series Analysis, 1 ed. dalam Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics. Wiley, 2008. doi: 10.1002/9781118619193.
G. Shmueli dan K. C. Lichtendahl, Practical time series forecasting with R: a hands-on guide, Second edition. Erscheinungsort nicht ermittelbar: Axelrod Schnall Publishers, 2018.
N. U. Moroff, E. Kurt, dan J. Kamphues, “Machine Learning and Statistics: A Study for assessing innovative Demand Forecasting Models,” Procedia Computer Science, vol. 180, hlm. 40–49, 2021, doi: 10.1016/j.procs.2021.01.127.
S. Makridakis, E. Spiliotis, dan V. Assimakopoulos, “Statistical and Machine Learning forecasting methods: Concerns and ways forward,” PLoS ONE, vol. 13, no. 3, hlm. e0194889, Mar 2018, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0194889.
F. Ullah, X. Zhang, M. Khan, M. Abid, dan A. Mohamed, “A Novel Hybrid Ensemble Learning Approach for Enhancing Accuracy and Sustainability in Wind Power Forecasting,” CMC, vol. 79, no. 2, hlm. 3373–3395, 2024, doi: 10.32604/cmc.2024.048656.
Z. Cao, C. Wan, Z. Zhang, F. Li, dan Y. Song, “Hybrid Ensemble Deep Learning for Deterministic and Probabilistic Low-Voltage Load Forecasting,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 35, no. 3, hlm. 1881–1897, Mei 2020, doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2019.2946701.
A. A. Mamun, Md. Sohel, N. Mohammad, Md. S. Haque Sunny, D. R. Dipta, dan E. Hossain, “A Comprehensive Review of the Load Forecasting Techniques Using Single and Hybrid Predictive Models,” IEEE Access, vol. 8, hlm. 134911–134939, 2020, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3010702.
A. Badshah, A. Daud, R. Alharbey, A. Banjar, A. Bukhari, dan B. Alshemaimri, “Big data applications: overview, challenges and future,” Artif Intell Rev, vol. 57, no. 11, hlm. 290, Sep 2024, doi: 10.1007/s10462-024-10938-5.
A. Siddiqa dkk., “A survey of big data management: Taxonomy and state-of-the-art,” Journal of Network and Computer Applications, vol. 71, hlm. 151–166, Agu 2016, doi: 10.1016/j.jnca.2016.04.008.
V. Cerqueira, L. Torgo, F. Pinto, dan C. Soares, “Arbitrage of forecasting experts,” Mach Learn, vol. 108, no. 6, hlm. 913–944, Jun 2019, doi: 10.1007/s10994-018-05774-y.
L. B. Sina, C. A. Secco, M. Blazevic, dan K. Nazemi, “Hybrid Forecasting Methods—A Systematic Review,” Electronics, vol. 12, no. 9, hlm. 2019, Apr 2023, doi: 10.3390/electronics12092019.
J. Shah, D. Vaidya, dan M. Shah, “A comprehensive review on multiple hybrid deep learning approaches for stock prediction,” Intelligent Systems with Applications, vol. 16, hlm. 200111, Nov 2022, doi: 10.1016/j.iswa.2022.200111.
A. Aamer, L. P. Eka Yani, dan I. M. Alan Priyatna, “Data Analytics in the Supply Chain Management: Review of Machine Learning Applications in Demand Forecasting,” OSCM: An Int. Journal, hlm. 1–13, Des 2020, doi: 10.31387/oscm0440281.
L. Palomero, V. García, dan J. S. Sánchez, “Fuzzy-Based Time Series Forecasting and Modelling: A Bibliometric Analysis,” Applied Sciences, vol. 12, no. 14, hlm. 6894, Jul 2022, doi: 10.3390/app12146894.
M. Jaramillo, W. Pavón, dan L. Jaramillo, “Adaptive Forecasting in Energy Consumption: A Bibliometric Analysis and Review,” Data, vol. 9, no. 1, hlm. 13, Jan 2024, doi: 10.3390/data9010013.
H. N.Dao, W. ChuanYuan, A. Suzuki, H. Sudo, L. Ye, dan D. Roy, “AI in Stock Market Forecasting: A Bibliometric Analysis,” SHS Web Conf., vol. 194, hlm. 01003, 2024, doi: 10.1051/shsconf/202419401003.
A. Ahmi, H. Elbardan, dan R. H. Raja Mohd Ali, “Bibliometric Analysis of Published Literature on Industry 4.0,” dalam 2019 International Conference on Electronics, Information, and Communication (ICEIC), Auckland, New Zealand: IEEE, Jan 2019, hlm. 1–6. doi: 10.23919/ELINFOCOM.2019.8706445.
H. Heriyanto, “Thematic Analysis sebagai Metode Menganalisa Data untuk Penelitian Kualitatif,” Anuva, vol. 2, no. 3, hlm. 317, Nov 2018, doi: 10.14710/anuva.2.3.317-324.
J. Baas, M. Schotten, A. Plume, G. Côté, dan R. Karimi, “Scopus as a curated, high-quality bibliometric data source for academic research in quantitative science studies,” Quantitative Science Studies, vol. 1, no. 1, hlm. 377–386, Feb 2020, doi: 10.1162/qss_a_00019.
A. Caputo dan M. Kargina, “A user-friendly method to merge Scopus and Web of Science data during bibliometric analysis,” J Market Anal, vol. 10, no. 1, hlm. 82–88, Mar 2022, doi: 10.1057/s41270-021-00142-7.
A. Ahmi, “OpenRefine: An approachable tool for cleaning and harmonizing bibliographical data,” dipresentasikan pada 27TH International Meeting of Thermophysics 2022, Dalešice, Czech Republic, 2023, hlm. 030006. doi: 10.1063/5.0164724.
A. Ahmi, “bibliomagica.” 2024. [Daring]. Tersedia pada: https://bibliomagika.com
K. Amin, Z. Ni’mah, dan A. Susanto, “Bibliometric Analysis: Development of Scientific Publications on ‘Islamic Education’ Based on Titles in the Scopus Database 1980-2023,” Maharot, vol. 7, no. 1, hlm. 15, Jun 2023, doi: 10.28944/maharot.v7i1.1078.
J. Silva, A. Senior Naveda, J. García Guliany, W. Niebles Núñez, dan H. Hernández Palma, “Forecasting Electric Load Demand through Advanced Statistical Techniques,” J. Phys.: Conf. Ser., vol. 1432, no. 1, hlm. 012031, Jan 2020, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1432/1/012031.
R. Kalla, S. Murikinjeri, dan R. Abbaiah, “An Improved Demand Forecasting with Limited Historical Sales Data,” dalam 2020 International Conference on Computer Communication and Informatics (ICCCI), Coimbatore, India: IEEE, Jan 2020, hlm. 1–5. doi: 10.1109/ICCCI48352.2020.9104090.
M. Zohdi, M. Rafiee, V. Kayvanfar, dan A. Salamiraad, “Demand forecasting based machine learning algorithms on customer information: an applied approach,” Int. j. inf. tecnol., vol. 14, no. 4, hlm. 1937–1947, Jun 2022, doi: 10.1007/s41870-022-00875-3.
V. Sharma, Ü. Cali, B. Sardana, M. Kuzlu, D. Banga, dan M. Pipattanasomporn, “Data-driven short-term natural gas demand forecasting with machine learning techniques,” Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering, vol. 206, hlm. 108979, Nov 2021, doi: 10.1016/j.petrol.2021.108979.
E. Aldahmani, A. Alzubi, dan K. Iyiola, “Demand Forecasting in Supply Chain Using Uni-Regression Deep Approximate Forecasting Model,” Applied Sciences, vol. 14, no. 18, hlm. 8110, Sep 2024, doi: 10.3390/app14188110.
F. Nussipova, S. Rysbekov, Z. Abdiakhmetova, dan A. Kartbayev, “Optimizing loss functions for improved energy demand prediction in smart power grids,” IJECE, vol. 14, no. 3, hlm. 3415, Jun 2024, doi: 10.11591/ijece.v14i3.pp3415-3426.
M. Kim, W. Choi, Y. Jeon, dan L. Liu, “A Hybrid Neural Network Model for Power Demand Forecasting,” Energies, vol. 12, no. 5, hlm. 931, Mar 2019, doi: 10.3390/en12050931.
H. Namdari, S. M. Ashrafi, dan A. Haghighi, “Deep learning–based short-term water demand forecasting in urban areas: A hybrid multichannel model,” AQUA — Water Infrastructure, Ecosystems and Society, vol. 73, no. 3, hlm. 380–395, Mar 2024, doi: 10.2166/aqua.2024.200.
T. Nguyen-Da, Y.-M. Li, C.-L. Peng, M.-Y. Cho, dan P. Nguyen-Thanh, “Tourism Demand Prediction after COVID-19 with Deep Learning Hybrid CNN–LSTM—Case Study of Vietnam and Provinces,” Sustainability, vol. 15, no. 9, hlm. 7179, Apr 2023, doi: 10.3390/su15097179.
H. Laaroussi, F. Guerouate, dan M. Sbihi, “A novel hybrid deep learning approachfor tourism demand forecasting,” IJECE, vol. 13, no. 2, hlm. 1989, Apr 2023, doi: 10.11591/ijece.v13i2.pp1989-1996.
S. Punia, K. Nikolopoulos, S. P. Singh, J. K. Madaan, dan K. Litsiou, “Deep learning with long short-term memory networks and random forests for demand forecasting in multi-channel retail,” International Journal of Production Research, vol. 58, no. 16, hlm. 4964–4979, Agu 2020, doi: 10.1080/00207543.2020.1735666.
N. Nassibi, H. Fasihuddin, dan L. Hsairi, “Demand Forecasting Models for Food Industry by Utilizing Machine Learning Approaches,” IJACSA, vol. 14, no. 3, 2023, doi: 10.14569/IJACSA.2023.01403101.
H. AL-Khazraji, A. Nasser, dan S. Khlil, “An intelligent demand forecasting model using a hybrid of metaheuristic optimization and deep learning algorithm for predicting concrete block production,” IJ-AI, vol. 11, no. 2, hlm. 649, Jun 2022, doi: 10.11591/ijai.v11.i2.pp649-657.
A. E. Filali, E. H. B. Lahmer, S. E. Filali, dan A. Jadli, “Application of Deep Learning in the Supply Chain Management: A comparison of forecasting demand for electrical products using different ANN methods,” dalam 2022 International Conference on Electrical, Computer and Energy Technologies (ICECET), Prague, Czech Republic: IEEE, Jul 2022, hlm. 1–7. doi: 10.1109/ICECET55527.2022.9872903.
A. Kolková dan A. Ključnikov, “Demand forecasting: AI-based, statistical and hybrid models vs practice-based models - the case of SMEs and large enterprises,” Economics & Sociology, vol. 15, no. 4, hlm. 39–62, Des 2022, doi: 10.14254/2071-789X.2022/15-4/2.
R. Siddiqui, M. Azmat, S. Ahmed, dan S. Kummer, “A hybrid demand forecasting model for greater forecasting accuracy: the case of the pharmaceutical industry,” Supply Chain Forum: An International Journal, vol. 23, no. 2, hlm. 124–134, Apr 2022, doi: 10.1080/16258312.2021.1967081.
Y. Zhu, Y. Zhao, J. Zhang, N. Geng, dan D. Huang, “Spring onion seed demand forecasting using a hybrid Holt-Winters and support vector machine model,” PLoS ONE, vol. 14, no. 7, hlm. e0219889, Jul 2019, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0219889.
C. Dang dkk., “IWRAM: A hybrid model for irrigation water demand forecasting to quantify the impacts of climate change,” Agricultural Water Management, vol. 291, hlm. 108643, Feb 2024, doi: 10.1016/j.agwat.2023.108643.
R. Porteiro, L. Hernández-Callejo, dan S. Nesmachnow, “Electricity demand forecasting in industrial and residential facilities using ensemble machine learning,” Rev.Fac.Ing.Univ.Antioquia, Jun 2020, doi: 10.17533/udea.redin.20200584.
S. Wu, H. Han, B. Hou, dan K. Diao, “Hybrid Model for Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting Based on Error Correction Using Chaotic Time Series,” Water, vol. 12, no. 6, hlm. 1683, Jun 2020, doi: 10.3390/w12061683.
S. Shan, H. Ni, G. Chen, X. Lin, dan J. Li, “A Machine Learning Framework for Enhancing Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting Using Attention-BiLSTM Networks Integrated with XGBoost Residual Correction,” Water, vol. 15, no. 20, hlm. 3605, Okt 2023, doi: 10.3390/w15203605.
T. Aichner dan V. Santa, “Demand Forecasting Methods and the Potential of Machine Learning in the FMCG Retail Industry,” dalam Serving the Customer, T. Aichner, Ed., Wiesbaden: Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden, 2023, hlm. 215–252. doi: 10.1007/978-3-658-39072-3_8.
S. Zhao dan X. Mi, “A Novel Hybrid Model for Short-Term High-Speed Railway Passenger Demand Forecasting,” IEEE Access, vol. 7, hlm. 175681–175692, 2019, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2957612.
Z. H. Kilimci dkk., “An Improved Demand Forecasting Model Using Deep Learning Approach and Proposed Decision Integration Strategy for Supply Chain,” Complexity, vol. 2019, no. 1, hlm. 9067367, Jan 2019, doi: 10.1155/2019/9067367.
A. Salamanis, G. Xanthopoulou, D. Kehagias, dan D. Tzovaras, “LSTM-Based Deep Learning Models for Long-Term Tourism Demand Forecasting,” Electronics, vol. 11, no. 22, hlm. 3681, Nov 2022, doi: 10.3390/electronics11223681.
E. Choi, S. Cho, dan D. K. Kim, “Power Demand Forecasting using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Deep-Learning Model for Monitoring Energy Sustainability,” Sustainability, vol. 12, no. 3, hlm. 1109, Feb 2020, doi: 10.3390/su12031109.
S. N. V. B. Rao dkk., “Day-Ahead Load Demand Forecasting in Urban Community Cluster Microgrids Using Machine Learning Methods,” Energies, vol. 15, no. 17, hlm. 6124, Agu 2022, doi: 10.3390/en15176124.
M. Aci dan D. Yergök, “Demand Forecasting for Food Production Using Machine Learning Algorithms: A Case Study of University Refectory,” Teh. vjesn., vol. 30, no. 6, Des 2023, doi: 10.17559/TV-20230117000232.
L. Viverit, C. Y. Heo, L. N. Pereira, dan G. Tiana, “Application of machine learning to cluster hotel booking curves for hotel demand forecasting,” International Journal of Hospitality Management, vol. 111, hlm. 103455, Mei 2023, doi: 10.1016/j.ijhm.2023.103455.
A. J. Del Real, F. Dorado, dan J. Durán, “Energy Demand Forecasting Using Deep Learning: Applications for the French Grid,” Energies, vol. 13, no. 9, hlm. 2242, Mei 2020, doi: 10.3390/en13092242.
S. Sikhwal dan S. Sen, “Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Money Demand Forecasting in the Indian Economy,” HSE Economic Journal, vol. 28, no. 1, hlm. 133–158, 2024, doi: 10.17323/1813-8691-2024-28-1-133-158.
R. K. Shiwakoti, C. Charoenlarpnopparut, dan K. Chapagain, “A Deep Learning Approach for Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting: Analysis of Thailand Data,” Applied Sciences, vol. 14, no. 10, hlm. 3971, Mei 2024, doi: 10.3390/app14103971.
N. E. Alamdari, M. F. Anjos, dan G. Savard, “Application of machine learning techniques in railway demand forecasting,” IJRM, vol. 12, no. 1/2, hlm. 132, 2021, doi: 10.1504/IJRM.2021.114970.
L. Kannari, J. Kiljander, K. Piira, J. Piippo, dan P. Koponen, “Building Heat Demand Forecasting by Training a Common Machine Learning Model with Physics-Based Simulator,” Forecasting, vol. 3, no. 2, hlm. 290–302, Apr 2021, doi: 10.3390/forecast3020019.
M. S. AL-Musaylh, R. C. Deo, Y. Li, dan J. F. Adamowski, “Two-phase particle swarm optimized-support vector regression hybrid model integrated with improved empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise for multiple-horizon electricity demand forecasting,” Applied Energy, vol. 217, hlm. 422–439, Mei 2018, doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.02.140.
K. D. Chaudhuri dan B. Alkan, “A hybrid extreme learning machine model with harris hawks optimisation algorithm: an optimised model for product demand forecasting applications,” Appl Intell, vol. 52, no. 10, hlm. 11489–11505, Agu 2022, doi: 10.1007/s10489-022-03251-7.
J. C. Preciado, Á. E. Prieto, R. Benitez, R. Rodríguez-Echeverría, dan J. M. Conejero, “A High-Frequency Data-Driven Machine Learning Approach for Demand Forecasting in Smart Cities,” Scientific Programming, vol. 2019, hlm. 1–16, Jun 2019, doi: 10.1155/2019/8319549.
Y. Yang, L. Han, Y. Wang, dan J. Wang, “China’s Energy Demand Forecasting Based on the Hybrid PSO-LSSVR Model,” Wireless Communications and Mobile Computing, vol. 2022, hlm. 1–12, Jan 2022, doi: 10.1155/2022/7584646.
M. A. Khan dkk., “Effective Demand Forecasting Model Using Business Intelligence Empowered With Machine Learning,” IEEE Access, vol. 8, hlm. 116013–116023, 2020, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3003790.
G. Liu, D. Savic, dan G. Fu, “Short-term water demand forecasting using data-centric machine learning approaches,” Journal of Hydroinformatics, vol. 25, no. 3, hlm. 895–911, Mei 2023, doi: 10.2166/hydro.2023.163.
Z. Wang, Z. Chen, Y. Yang, C. Liu, X. Li, dan J. Wu, “A hybrid Autoformer framework for electricity demand forecasting,” Energy Reports, vol. 9, hlm. 3800–3812, Des 2023, doi: 10.1016/j.egyr.2023.02.083.
I.-F. Chen dan C.-J. Lu, “Demand Forecasting for Multichannel Fashion Retailers by Integrating Clustering and Machine Learning Algorithms,” Processes, vol. 9, no. 9, hlm. 1578, Sep 2021, doi: 10.3390/pr9091578.
Y. Zhu, Y. Zhao, J. Zhang, N. Geng, dan D. Huang, “Spring onion seed demand forecasting using a hybrid Holt-Winters and support vector machine model,” PLoS ONE, vol. 14, no. 7, hlm. e0219889, Jul 2019, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0219889.
Y. Huang dkk., “Demand prediction of medical services in home and community-based services for older adults in China using machine learning,” Front. Public Health, vol. 11, hlm. 1142794, Mar 2023, doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1142794.
M. Nasseri, T. Falatouri, P. Brandtner, dan F. Darbanian, “Applying Machine Learning in Retail Demand Prediction—A Comparison of Tree-Based Ensembles and Long Short-Term Memory-Based Deep Learning,” Applied Sciences, vol. 13, no. 19, hlm. 11112, Okt 2023, doi: 10.3390/app131911112.
C.-C. Wang, H.-T. Chang, dan C.-H. Chien, “Hybrid LSTM-ARMA Demand-Forecasting Model Based on Error Compensation for Integrated Circuit Tray Manufacturing,” Mathematics, vol. 10, no. 13, hlm. 2158, Jun 2022, doi: 10.3390/math10132158.
S. S dan S. S. J. S.D, “Improving Energy Demand Prediction in IoT Based Smart Grids through Hybrid CNN-LSTM Modelling With Modified Sea Lion Algorithm,” SSRG-IJEEE, vol. 10, no. 9, hlm. 221–231, Sep 2023, doi: 10.14445/23488379/IJEEE-V10I9P121.
A. Mitra, A. Jain, A. Kishore, dan P. Kumar, “A Comparative Study of Demand Forecasting Models for a Multi-Channel Retail Company: A Novel Hybrid Machine Learning Approach,” Oper. Res. Forum, vol. 3, no. 4, hlm. 58, Sep 2022, doi: 10.1007/s43069-022-00166-4.
A. Jain dan S. C. Gupta, “Evaluation of electrical load demand forecasting using various machine learning algorithms,” Front. Energy Res., vol. 12, hlm. 1408119, Jun 2024, doi: 10.3389/fenrg.2024.1408119.
L. Munkhdalai, K. H. Park, E. Batbaatar, N. Theera-Umpon, dan K. H. Ryu, “Deep Learning-Based Demand Forecasting for Korean Postal Delivery Service,” IEEE Access, vol. 8, hlm. 188135–188145, 2020, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3030938.
A. Sanford, “Information content of option prices: Comparing analyst forecasts to option-based forecasts,” The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, vol. 73, hlm. 102197–102197, 2024, doi: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102197.
Downloads
Additional Files
Posted
License
Copyright (c) 2026 UMSIDA Preprints Server

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
